India’s average daily number of Covid cases has fallen below 30,000 for the first time in more than five months. The average count of deaths reported each day has also declined to under 400.
The seven-day rolling average of daily cases fell below the 30,000 mark this Sunday. On the same day, the seven-day average of daily deaths dropped below 400. The daily average currently stands at 27,764 cases, a 70% drop from the peak of 93,735 reported on September 17.
Likewise, as on Wednesday, the seven-day average of daily deaths was 392, exactly a third of the peak of 1,176 deaths recorded on September 19.
The seven-day rolling average denotes the average number of daily cases/deaths reported over the past week from any given day. It’s regarded as a more reliable indicator of trend because it tempers down daily variations in numbers.
The rolling graph of India’s average daily cases has been steadily falling since the peak of September 17, except for the brief rise in mid-November and a plateauing in the week before Diwali (November 14).
Average daily deaths too have declined almost continuously since September 19 except for three brief spikes in November.
Meanwhile, India recorded 28,465 fresh Covid cases on Wednesday, a slight rise from the 26,239 infections detected on the previous day, as per TOI’s data collated from state governments. With this, India’s total caseload rose to 99,51,060. The count was down by nearly 10,000 as Maharashtra reduced its overall caseload by that number after a major reconciliation exercise to remove duplicate entries and those who had shifted out of the state.
The rise in cases on Wednesday was mainly on account of higher counts reported from Kerala, which logged 6,185 fresh cases, the highest in the country for the second straight day. The state had reported 5,218 cases on Tuesday.
Maharashtra (4,304 new cases), Rajasthan (1,247), Karnataka (1,240) and Tamil Nadu (1,181), among others, registered marginal increases in fresh infections since the previous day. Cases continued to fall in states such as Delhi, Haryana and Punjab.
The death toll remained below 400 for the fifth day running, with 357 fatalities recorded in the day. India’s total death toll from the pandemic now stood at 1,44,447. Maharashtra continued to record the highest number of Covid deaths, with 95 more fatalities on Wednesday. Bengal reported the second highest daily toll of 46, followed by Delhi (32), Kerala (27) and Punjab (18).